“Bond. James Bond.”
Who will be the next actor to unleash one of the most popular lines in movies history?
One reliable way to predict the next actor who will play the James Bond role is via sports/entertainment betting odds, which give immediate clues on which contenders have a bigger chance of winning in any competition.
The “competition” in this case is landing the prominent and highly coveted role of being James Bond in one of the most popular action movie franchises and replace Daniel Craig, who has assumed the role in the last four 007 flicks (Casino Royale, Quantum of Solace, Skyfall and Spectre from 2006 to 2015).
For non-sports bettors– or in this case, entertainment bettors– it is easy to understand how the formula works on computing the chances/odds of winning of the contenders. The same formula also states the winnings for each bet made, if the correct prediction is made.
First, the betting odds for the “Next James Bond” market (Top 16 contenders, full list can be found at sportsbet.com.au):
Tom Hardy 2.00
Idris Elba 4.50
Damian Lewis 4.50
Henry Cavill 7.00
Aidan Turner 7.00
Michael Fassbender 9.00
T J Ramini 11.00
Stephen Amell 13.00
James Norton 13.00
Tom Hiddleston 15.00
Hugh Jackman 16.00
Dan Stevens 17.00
Orlando Bloom 17.00
Richard Armitage 17.00
James McAvoy 19.00
Adrian Lester 21.00
Using the simple formula:
(Amount of Bet) times (Betting Odds) = (Winnings), it can be concluded that Tom Hardy has the best chance of landing the James Bond role.
Using Hardy’s betting odds (2.00) and assigning an amount of bet– say $100–, bets on Hardy if he lands the Bond role will net total winnings of $200, or a $100 profit.
Using Henry Cavill’s betting odds (7.00) and assigning the same amount of bet, that’s a total of $700 winnings (or $600 profit) for every winning bet made on Cavill.
Simply, the lower the profit means the higher chances that they win the bet and vice versa. So in the case of James Bond betting odds, Hardy is the favorite to land the Bond role while Idris Elba and Damian Lewis are tied as second favorites to become the British super spy.
As with anything in sports and competition, underdogs can pull off the upset. This means that even with higher odds, Orlando Bloom, T J Ramini or others still has a chance of landing the Bond role.
Will the Mad Max: Fury Road star (Hardy) bag the James Bond role? Or will the superhero actors Arrow (Stephen Amell), Superman (Henry Cavill), Thor (Tom Hiddleston), Magneto (Michael Fassbender), Professor X (James McAvoy) or Wolverine (Hugh Jackman) pull off the improbable?
Hardy’s Mad Max just won 6 Oscars and the English actor might just nab being the next James Bond, at least according to sports betting odds.
Photo courtesy: Georges Biard/Wikimedia Commons